Download PDF by Chris Johns: National Geographic (June 2005)

By Chris Johns

June 2005 nationwide Geographic

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How he could have been so spectacularly right and so spectacularly wrong on the same pages is remarkable,” observed Caltech geologist Clarence Allen. ready to e x p lode 25 By the time Hill set out to write his remarkable little book, the alarming results that had fueled Willis’s concerns had been refuted— by none other than the chief of the organization responsible for collecting the data. Captain William Bowie, head of the Coast and Geodetic Survey, had been aware as early as 1924 that the alarming surveying results could not be double-checked until a subsequent survey was completed.

USGS photograph by W. L. ) dards even the more stringent local codes had not gone far enough. But these codes, and the Riley Act, were a key first step toward Willis’s vision of a decade earlier. Willis might have retreated from the scene in the aftermath of his discredited prediction, but he had not disappeared. In the immediate aftermath of the Long Beach earthquake he argued that more quakes were likely and that damaged buildings should be torn down or strengthened. A March 13 International News Service story out of Stanford reported that at an earlier meeting of insurance company presidents in New York City, “Dr.

There is reason to believe that the grail is not entirely a creature of myth and legend. Some earthquakes are in fact predictable. After an earthquake happens its aftershocks are quite predictable. We can’t predict individual aftershocks any more than we can predict individual earthquakes, but fairly simple rules, based on countless observed sequences, tell us how many aftershocks of various magnitudes we can expect. 48 chapte r 5 Scientists have also identified repeating earthquakes, very small earthquakes that recur regularly along segments of faults that do not lock up, but are able to move via steady creep, including the ninetymile stretch of the San Andreas Fault in central California.

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National Geographic (June 2005) by Chris Johns


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