By Christoph Bertram (eds.)
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Publish yr observe: First released in 2010 (first edition)
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Extra info for America’s Security in the 1980s
In SALT I, the US accepted a five-year freeze on the number of Soviet and American missile launchers on the assumption that a variety of collateral agreements ensured that Soviet modernization would not represent a dramatic break with past deployments. But the SS-19, while technically a 'light' missile under the terms of SALT I, carries six megaton-size warheads and was nearly three times the size of the SS-11 it replaced. Simultaneously, the USSR developed an effective MIRVed 'heavy' ICBM, the SS-18, to replace her heavy SS-9.
These negotiations were only marginally successful - resulting in the unratifted SALT II Treaty. I recite this history in order to emphasize that disappointment with the arms-control process is not a new phenomenon; it began almost immediately after the completion of the SALT I Agreements. An extraordinary number of approaches have been attempted in the intervening period to fmd a common ground between the two sides. So far, there has been no success. Given the non-ratification of SALT II, a new approach is essential if there is to be progress, yet any approach to arms control is clearly inconsistent with a major increase in the nuclear warftghting capabilities of the United States.
All these factors raise doubts that the planned rapid increase in defence spending will prove feasible. The most immediate challenge the Administration faces is to construct its FY 83 Budget (submitted to Congress in January 1982). It must include further deep cuts in domestic programmes and there seems no way that changes in social security can be avoided much longer. Postponing such cuts until after the 1982 Congressional mid-term election will reduce substantially the savings possible in FY 84, thus forcing the President to forgo his hoped-for balanced budget or to cut back defence spending.
America’s Security in the 1980s by Christoph Bertram (eds.)